Oh, you think the government will regulate Kalshi and Polymarket? Wanna bet?

Oh, you think the government will regulate Kalshi and Polymarket? Wanna bet?

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has a problem: It’s not very good at policing insider trading. And insider trading has become a pressing concern for prediction markets. Even Kalshi’s recently publicized fines for insider trading — levied against a politician and an employee of YouTube influencer MrBeast — were effectively self-policing. The exchange says it’s … Read more

Prediction markets want to eat the news

Prediction markets want to eat the news

Substack has updated its partnership with betting platform Polymarket, “introducing native tools that make it easier to share, discuss, and debate prediction market data directly on Substack.” Additionally, Polymarket will effectively pay “a cohort of creators,” including Matt Yglesias, to use its data though the newsletter platform’s pilot sponsorships program. This is just the latest … Read more

Can Democrats post their way to midterm victories?

Can Democrats post their way to midterm victories?

During the 2024 presidential election, @KamalaHQ was something of an alter ego for Vice President Kamala Harris — as Harris ran a buttoned-up campaign, the online accounts shared clips of her set to viral TikTok sounds, shitposted unflattering pictures of Donald Trump, and adopted a voice that was at times indistinguishable from the average 20-something … Read more

The same day DHS announced the surge would end in Minnesota, ICE activity increased in small towns

The same day DHS announced the surge would end in Minnesota, ICE activity increased in small towns

We sat in a parking lot and waited. We watched, knowing we were being watched in return. Two men, masked and presumably armed, idled in a gray SUV. “They’re all on this fucking street now,” Lety, a lifelong resident of the Minnesota suburbs, told me. ICE had been spotted at a gas station and a … Read more

Bezos could have saved WaPo’s sports and local journalists. He laid them off instead.

Bezos could have saved WaPo’s sports and local journalists. He laid them off instead.

Hello and welcome to Regulator, a newsletter for Verge subscribers about tech politicking in the age of Trump. If you’re a subscriber, you are dominant and talented, like the Seattle Seahawks. If you’re not a subscriber yet, it’s time to get your act together, like the New England Patriots. (I’m from Boston and I’m allowed … Read more

A community organizer’s guide to Signal group chats

A community organizer’s guide to Signal group chats

With ICE and CBP roaming the streets, united community action is more important than ever right now — from local mutual aid groups to school safety patrols. Known for its privacy features and end-to-end encryption, the Signal messaging app has become a popular platform for organizing these community groups. Signal can be a great tool … Read more